LEAPS & Options · Free Download

When a Great Company
Gets Crushed

A free 2-page framework for deciding whether to buy the LEAPS now, wait a couple of days, or stay the hell away when a great company gets crushed.

  • The 5-question crash test that strips emotion out of a red candle
  • How to tell panic from a real problem from a genuinely broken business
  • Why the stock can be on sale while the option is not
  • Contract selection: expiration, delta, intrinsic vs. extrinsic, and spread
  • What a 2,011-event screen found — including where it fell short
  • The six rules I would use before buying any crash
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What This
Cheat Sheet Covers

Two pages. Eight sections. A repeatable way to separate the stock got hurt from the business got hurt — before you put money on a red candle.

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The 5-Question Crash Test

Five questions that strip the emotion out of a red candle — starting with the one that matters most: if I could not see the price, would today's news make me sell the company?

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What Kind of Crash Is It?

Three catalyst types with a default response for each. Panic and sentiment is the best immediate-entry candidate. Regulatory, safety, solvency or accounting damage is usually a pass.

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The Problem Nobody Talks About

The stock can be on sale while the option is not. A violent drop makes the call cheaper from the stock side — and fear makes it more expensive from the volatility side, at the same time.

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Contract Selection

Expiration, delta, intrinsic versus extrinsic, the IV on the actual expiry you want, and the bid/ask spread. A good idea becomes a bad trade if the spread is ugly.

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What a 2,011-Event Screen Found

The honest numbers: +18.2% at 252 days against SPY's +17.2%, beating SPY only 46.5% of the time, with a −23.6% average max drawdown. The raw return is a trap on its own.

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Six Rules I'd Actually Use

Don't buy the red candle alone. Don't assume a bigger drop is a better bargain. Don't make IV the whole decision. Lean deeper ITM. Avoid certain catalysts. Give the thesis 18–24+ months.

Stop Guessing on
the Dip

Get the cheat sheet, run the crash test, and decide with a framework instead of a feeling.

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Important Disclaimer

This cheat sheet is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not tax, legal, investment, or financial advice. Options carry substantial risk and can expire worthless. LEAPS are still wasting assets, and a long call can lose its entire value even if you are right about the company.